I hope that you and your families remain well and are surviving this second round of lock-downs. Hopefully the road map soon to be announced is not too onerous and the new post-COVID normal now within reach. As we all continue to manage our mental health, one day at a time, again we at Payton continue to take stock and remain thankful for where we are and how far we have come.
Despite the frustration and negative media bombardment, we remain positive, optimistic and determined. We try to respond to the negative sentiment in the “opposite spirit” to overcome fear with facts and to be part of the solution.
Economic green shoots continue
The latest economic data is encouraging:
- Strong recovery in all states, bar Victoria
- Stage 4 battered confidence, but the past few weeks we are back on the rise
- Consumption will drive recovery, so we all have a part to play
Low default rates and no sign of “fiscal cliff”- Banks are well capitalised – secondary markets liquid
- Banks continue to lend and interest rates are at all time lows
Low default rates and no sign of “fiscal cliff”
Only -1.6% year to date, 6.6% up YOY!- Further stimulus supporting growth and new building starts
- Post lock-down will see full picture, however no longer expected to be dramatic decline
Only -1.6% year to date, 6.6% up YOY!- Government stimulus has worked
- Consumers are cashed up!
- Expecting more targeted stimulus enabled by our Government’s strong credit rating and borrowing power
Projects approaching completion
Despite COVID-19, our projects continue to reach completion and despite some delays, continue to deliver excellent returns for both our borrowers and investors.
Grey Street, Traralgon 50 room Mantra Hotel, cinema, bowling alley and retail
Grey Street, Traralgon – interior
Grey Street, Traralgon 50 room Mantra Hotel, cinema, bowling alley and retail
Scheduled completion and opening October, 2020
Loan maturity December, 2020
Milan Street, Mentone -4 Townhouses
Milan Street, Mentone -4 Townhouses
Milan Street, Mentone -4 Townhouses
Milan Street, Mentone – 4 Townhouses
Completion mid-October, 2020
Loan maturity 13 December 2020
Springvale Road, Glen Waverley – 5 Townhouses
Springvale Road, Glen Waverley – 5 Townhouses
Springvale Road, Glen Waverley – 5 Townhouses
Springvale Road, Glen Waverley – 5 Townhouses
Completion September, 2020
Loan maturity, overdue
Investment opportunities
In the past three months we have deliberately increased the liquidity in our 48-Hour Cash-Plus option. As a result, the benchmark monthly return has been reduced to 3% p.a. (down from 4% p.a.) which we believe continues to represent excellent value for our investors relative to the market on a like-for-like basis. For those seeking a higher return, and happy to commit for a longer term, many investors are choosing the 6 or 12 month options.
Pooled Fund Options
| 48 Hour Cash plus | 6 Month Term | 12 Month Term |
|---|---|---|
| 3% p.a. | 6% p.a. | 7% p.a. |
Select Mortgage opportunities have also grown in the past four weeks and we anticipate a return to the “new normal” post COVID in the December quarter. We have observed an increase in competition in the past month with the Private Debt market place appearing to be awash with funds.
As such, it may be a little more difficult to extract a significant premium over and above pooled option returns for individual transactions moving forward, however the ability to choose specific loans in which to invest, tailor return for risk and build your own portfolio is still a very attractive option for those who are ‘active investors’.
Once again, thank you for your continued support. Should you have any specific queries or concerns, please reach out to your Relationship Manager.
I’m also happy to receive any feedback or queries directly as some of you have done from time to time.
Regards,
David Payton
CEO
